One might expect that Israelis, who live in the only democracy in the Middle East, would turn out in the squares of Jerusalem and the gardens of Tel Aviv to show solidarity with the demonstrators in Egypt. The protesters, after all, are seeking to overthrow an authoritarian regime.
Israelis, however, have stayed at home, warily following events on TV and the Internet.
It is not a democratic Egypt that Israelis fear but the prospect of Egypt being hijacked by enemies of democracy, of Israel and of the United States. Within every revolution are some who hope to use democratic processes to establish oppressive regimes. This was, to a large extent, what triumphed in Iran in 1979 and what happened in Gaza only five years ago. Many Israelis wonder why it would be any different in Egypt, which is home to the world's most powerful and popular Islamist movement.
Should the government of Hosni Mubarak be replaced by one not truly committed to freedom and peace, the consequences for Israel could be devastating. As Egypt struggles toward an internal balance that appeases all forces, including the Muslim Brotherhood, peace with Israel could be the price of an Egyptian compromise. And the risks are worse if the Brotherhood, an organization deeply hostile to Israel, America and the West, gets to call the shots.
Consider what an Egyptian official once told me: "There is no war without Egypt." From 1948 to 1973, Israel had to fight four wars against coalitions of Arab armies. Since the peace agreement between Egypt and Israel, however, there has not been even one war between Israel and Arab states. The lives of many Israelis and Arabs have been saved over the past four decades, and the security burden on Israel's economy has become more bearable. Yet if the peace with Egypt dissolves, the risks to the Jewish state and its citizens cannot be overstated.
The implications for the region could be massive. If Israel's western neighbor turns hostile, where would that leave our eastern neighbor, Jordan? Would it remain at peace with us? What would be the impact on other pro-American regimes? How many weeks, or days, would the new alignment of interests between Israel and most Arab regimes last against an aggressive and nuclear-armed Iran? If there is a negative outcome to the events unfolding in Egypt, the world will be living with a new Middle East, but it will be very different from the one we all aspire to.
Meanwhile, Israelis are uncertain about some positions of the U.S. administration. They remember how, after the 2009 presidential election, the Obama administration refused to support courageous Iranians who demonstrated against the oppressive "hate to America" regime in Tehran. People are understandably puzzled when news reports show an ally of America - even an authoritarian one - abandoned while U.S. rivals are honored with state dinners in Washington, despite their gross violations of human rights. In this highly charged region, Washington's actions are carefully watched. Israelis are looking at the results of U.S. policy in Iraq, the recent loss of Lebanon to Iran and how American pressure on Israel led to a "democratic" takeover of the Palestinian Authority by Hamas terrorists. Israelis live every day with the results of the U.S. administration's blunder that made already-difficult negotiations with the Palestinians impossible.
Israelis have learned the hard way that Israel cannot shape internal developments in our neighboring Arab states. While they wish America could responsibly engage in this process and ensure a positive outcome, they also doubt whether even America can prevent events from proceeding toward, and down, a slippery slope.
It is said, and is possibly true, that worry may be in the Jewish genes. With our history, having paved so many roads with good intentions only to see them lead to destruction, and having experienced how democratic slogans and processes have been abused again and again by murderous dictators, it is hard not to be concerned.
The future of Egypt is uncertain: Is it a hostile Islamist tyranny, using democracy as a fake ladder, or a compromise at Israel's expense that may be about to occur? The fear of war and death is on Israelis' hearts and minds.
But if a real democracy, committed to the values of freedom and peace, were to emerge in Egypt, Israelis would overwhelmingly support it.
The writer was Israel's ambassador to the United States from 2005 to 2009.

Mr Aboul Gheit has been Egypt's foreign minister for seven years Egypt's foreign minister has rebuffed calls from Washington to speed up the pace of political reform.
Mark Mardell BBC North America editor On the issue of Egypt's emergency law, in place for four decades, Mr Aboul Gheit described himself as "amazed" by Mr Biden's reported comments for it to be lifted.
Soliman Oteifi/Associated PressVice President Omar Suleiman of Egypt, center back, met with leaders of Egyptian parties and the Muslim brotherhood leadership in Cairo on Sunday. 


US Admiral Mike Mullen (file photo) Share This\ABS\Auto Blog Samurai\data\Check Todays News\Google News Feed\Canary+City+and+other+oddities+-Decumanus-+Wikipedia+Commons.jpg)


An anti-government protester beckons others to support those at the frontline of clashes with pro-government supporters, near the Egyptian Museum in downtown Cairo, on Thursday. Photo: AP Embattled Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has said he is “fed up” and wants to quit but fears that the nation will “sink in chaos” if he steps down.“He is fed up with being President and would like to leave office now, but cannot, he says, for fear that the country would sink into chaos,” ABC News, which recently interviewed Mr. Mubarak, said.In his first interview after pro-democracy protests gained momentum, the President blamed opposition Muslim Brotherhood for the violence in Cairo and said “I was very unhappy about yesterday. I do not want to see Egyptians fighting each other.”On U.S. President Barack Obama’s apparent calls for his resignation, Mr. Mubarak said he told his American counterpart, “You don’t understand the Egyptian culture and what would happen if I step down now.” He, however, maintained that Mr. Obama is a “very good man.”When asked about seeing people shouting insults about him and wanting him gone, Mr. Mubarak who has been ruling Egypt for 30 years said, “I don’t care what people say about me. Right now I care about my country, I care about Egypt.”The 82-year-old leader said he had never planned to run for Presidency during the September election, neither had any plan to pass on the mantle to his son Gamal, who was also present during the interview.On his feeling after addressing the nation on Monday night when he said he would not run for Presidential election again, Mr. Mubarak said he felt “relief“.According to the report, Mr. Mubarak was along with his family and his palace was heavily guarded by armed troops, tanks and barbed wires. Protesters’ Friday deadline for Mr. Mubarak’s resignation is ending today.“I would never run away... I will die on this soil,” he said as the President defended his legacy, recounting the many years he has spent leading his country.Talks about Mubarak stepping aside nowThe Obama administration is in talks with top Egyptian officials about the possible immediate resignation of President Hosni Mubarak and the formation of an interim government that could prepare the country for free and fair elections later this year.U.S. officials said on Thursday the creation of a military-backed caretaker government in Egypt is one of several ideas being discussed as anti—Mubarak protests escalate in the streets of Cairo and other Egyptian cities.The officials said the United States isn’t seeking to impose a solution on Egypt but stressed that the administration had made a judgement that Mr. Mubarak has to leave office soon if there is to be a peaceful resolution to the crisis. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive diplomatic talks that are continuing.The talks were first reported by The New York Times.
The EU leaders are expected to strongly criticise the violence in Egypt EU leaders are preparing to meet for a one-day summit, with energy, the eurozone debt crisis and unrest in Egypt set to dominate the agenda.